Lectric Ebikes has long set the standard for other companies to follow in the budget electric bicycle space, continuously rolling out new models that offer never-before-seen value. A new cargo e-bike with more features? They did it. A new off-roader with better components? They did that, too. But what about the company’s best-selling model, the Lectric XP 3.0 folding fat tire e-bike? It’s due for an update, and here’s what you can expect.

Believe it or not, it’s been over two years since the Lectric XP 3.0 was launched in early November 2022. That model has since dominated the industry, giving riders with an under $1,000 budget better bang-for-their-buck than ever before as it rose to the top of the US bestselling e-bikes list.

With 28 mph (45 km/h) speeds, hydraulic disc brakes, suspension, built-in rear rack, heavy-duty cargo/passenger capabilities, and multiple battery sizes, it’s become the go-to $999 electric bike for thousands of new riders every month. It’s even a personal favorite of mine. I’ve put my family members on XP 3.0s, I’ve bought multiple XP 3.0s to donate to the underprivileged, and it’s the model I chose when I went undercover as a food delivery worker to see the world through e-bike couriers’ eyes.

But nothing lasts forever, and two years is a long time in the electric bicycle industry. We don’t yet know quite when a Lectric XP 4.0 will come to replace the US’ current best-selling electric bike model, but you’d better believe that Lectric’s designers in Phoenix have been whiteboarding ideas for a while now. And I’d bet dollars to donuts that these are some of those ideas.

Upgrades in component quality

With every new launch this year, we’ve watched Lectric eBikes flex its purchasing power by bringing us higher quality components than we deserve at these price levels. The XPeak routinely gets oddly high-tier forks. The Lectric One received a transmission that probably costs as much as the whole bike if you were to try to buy it retail. And the Lectric XP Lite 2.0 offers a Gates belt drive for under $900. This is all absurd, or at least it used to be until Lectric started waving its wallet around at the offices of higher-end component makers that aren’t used to seeing customers in this affordable price range.

That means the Lectric XP 4.0 is likely to benefit from that same purchasing power. I can foresee major upgrades including a higher-end suspension fork, better hydraulic disc brakes, and likely even a torque sensor for improved pedal assist. I don’t imagine the derailleur will make a huge jump in quality (maybe just an 8-speed Shimano Tourney?), but a color screen is likely in the cards, as are nicer bolt-on grips and other comfort enhancements. We may even see better suspension seat posts and nicer tires.

But for the love of all things holy in this world, if those do-gooders on Utopia Rd even think about touching that right side half-twist throttle, then by the beard of Zeus we’re going to have words…

More power?

There’s a real chance that the XP 4.0 could be more powerful, especially since Lectric has become quite fond of its M24 electric motor, which has graced models like the XPeak 2.0 and XPedition 2.0. That 750W motor puts out just over 1,300W of actual electrical power, due in no small part to Lectric’s assistance on using higher current electronic speed controllers than most of its competitors.

In fact, the Lectric XP 3.0 is probably the most powerful “500W” e-bike around right now, but that doesn’t mean it will always remain in the five hundred club.

A power increase isn’t a given, and Lectric may still reserve that higher-power motor for its more premium models. After all, they can’t just give us all the good stuff at such a low price. Or can they?

No price change

Speaking of price change, I find it incredibly hard to believe that the XP 4.0 would launch at anything other than US $999. Lectric has only ever changed the price of this model once, increasing it from the original $899 of the XP 1.0 to the $999 of the XP 2.0. Ever since, they’ve steered clear of price increases on the XP line.

Lectric’s Co-founder and CEO Levi Conlow recently explained at the Micromobility America 2024 conference that whenever the company’s increasing efficiency causes the margins to creep “too high” (a foreign concept to most brands), they either lower the price or release a new version of the bike with more features. And so that’s likely exactly what the 4.0 will prove to be – another $999 e-bike, but this time with even more features.

Design and build

I don’t expect we’ll see any huge design changes to the structure of the bike. Sure, there will be a new frame. But I expect the company to retain the same boxy tube structure they’ve used ever since the brand’s first XP bike rolled out in late 2019. They even use it on their XPedition cargo bike despite there being no real reason for it (the batteries aren’t housed inside the frame) other than design continuity with the Lite, XP, and XP Trike lines.

What we are likely to see in the design department are minor updates for improved strength and ruggedness. Lectric has been investing more heavily in third-party certifications, including both structural frame testing and electronic certifications like UL compliance. That’s likely to continue with the XP 4.0, meaning we could see improved certification indicating even more confidence in the bike’s ability to haul cargo and passengers.

The color scheme is unlikely to change heavily. Black and white have been the XP’s MO for years now, and even that’s an improvement from when they were only available in white. We’ve of course seen splashes of Lectric’s blue accent color on most of the brand’s models, and the XP 4.0 is unlikely to be different in that regard. But expect it to be more along the lines of the new XPedition 2.0’s color swatch design, not a radical color departure.

Fancy features?

This one is a bit of a wild card, and I don’t expect Lectric to go overly nuts with fancy features. I don’t think we’re going to be getting any crazy phone apps or wireless charging through the kickstand anytime soon. But we just might see the inclusion of value-added features like tracking for anti-theft.

This could be done fairly easily through the use of existing technology like the Apple FindMy network – something that Lectric’s competitor Velotric has leveraged beautifully. Such a feature would likely add little cost but could be of major value. In fact, I recently tried to plant that exact bug in Lectric Co-founder Robby Deziel’s ear. Robby has been wrist-deep in the design of these e-bikes since as early as 2019, when he personally helped me with the wiring on one of the first Lectric XPs ever. So let’s see if he listens on the integrated tracker idea.

When is the Lectric XP 4.0 coming?

I pride myself in having a bit of a crystal ball for the electric bike industry, but even I have no idea when Lectric is planning on releasing the XP 4.0. From everything I can gather, it’s not imminent.

I may have teased you with all the cool things Lectric could do on XP 4.0, but I don’t think we’ll be seeing any of those updates anytime soon.

Suffice it to say that if you’ve been wanting to join in on the XP fun and somehow you’re one of the few Americans who doesn’t yet have an XP 3.0, that’s still a killer e-bike for an amazing $999 price. One day the XP 4.0 will likely make us all “ooh” and “ahh” again, but it doesn’t appear to be in the cards yet.